[GOLD July 25, 2025]

“`html

Market Recap

Gold prices have experienced slight declines recently, influenced by growing optimism surrounding U.S. trade negotiations, which have reduced demand for the metal as a safe-haven asset. Despite this, a broadly weaker U.S. dollar has helped mitigate further losses. [Source]

For trading XAUUSD, it’s beneficial to use a reliable platform like Exness. You can access their services here: [xauusd.gold]

Current Price Action and Trends

Price Level:

As of July 25, 2025, spot gold is trading at approximately $3,363.91 per ounce. [Source]

Trend:

The medium-term trend appears bullish, with prices recovering from recent dips and approaching key resistance levels. [Source]

Key Levels:

• Support: $3,300
• Resistance: $3,400
• Long-Term Target: $3,400

Support:

The $3,300 level has shown strong buying interest in the past, serving as a crucial floor for price action. [Source]

Resistance:

The $3,400 level represents a significant barrier to further growth, with a breakout above this level potentially leading to higher targets. [Source]

Long-Term Target:

Analysts project a long-term target of $3,400 for gold, aligning with current market forecasts. [Source]

Trading Strategy for XAUUSD

Entry Points

• Pullback Entry: Consider entering long positions on a pullback to the $3,300–$3,320 zone, aligning with the 50-period moving average and the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels. [Source]
• Breakout Entry: Enter long if the price closes above $3,400, targeting $3,450. [Source]

Risk Management

• Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop loss below the recent swing low, around $3,245, to protect against unexpected market reversals. [Source]
• Take Profit (TP): Set the first take profit target at $3,366, the immediate resistance level, and consider a second target at $3,400, aligning with long-term bullish forecasts. [Source]

Key Indicators to Monitor

• RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 65, indicating that gold is approaching overbought territory. However, a divergence between price and RSI can signal potential reversals. [Source]
• Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average is at $3,310, providing dynamic support. A crossover above the 200-period moving average at $3,280 would confirm bullish momentum. [Source]

Rationale for Strategy

• Bullish Drivers: Safe-haven demand from U.S.-China trade uncertainty and Fed rate cut expectations remain in play. [Source]
• Volatility: Monitor Federal Reserve policy statements and geopolitical news for volatility spikes. [Source]

Final Advice

Given the current market dynamics, a cautious approach is recommended. Prioritize breakouts above $3,366 with tight stop losses. If entering on pullbacks, ensure the price holds above $3,245. Exit 50% of positions at $3,366 and ride the remainder toward $3,400. Stay informed about Federal Reserve commentary and geopolitical developments, as these can trigger sharp price swings. [Source]